WillItSurvive
Israel · Israel

Next Silicon

Israeli chipmaker building specialized processors for supercomputers and HPC scientific workloads.

Losing its protection
Assessed 29 July 2026 · Evidence as of 29 July 2026
The structural protection is eroding.
On the recordSince 29 July 2026 · Checkable from H2 2026 · Every call on the record Checkpoint: Next funding round announcement, or continued silence past 21 months since October 2024 raise
The call

NextSilicon has one working supercomputer and no new money in almost two years, while Nvidia's Rubin chips already sit inside the same national labs it needs to win next.

Next Silicon designs custom computer chips (called Maverick-2) that work well for scientific calculations on supercomputers. They proved their technology works when a U.S. government lab (Sandia) fully accepted their system in May 2026, and they are now shipping the chips. The big threat is Nvidia, which makes the most popular computing chips in the world and is now also competing directly for the same government science customers with their newer Rubin chips. The one thing that could change everything is whether Next Silicon can raise new money soon, because they have not announced a funding round in about 21 months while spending heavily to design an entirely new chip called Arbel; if that money does not come or their cash starts running out, the company will be in serious trouble.

Why
01
AI pressure: Nvidia Rubin GPU platform. Rubin GPUs already run mixed AI/HPC workloads at DOE labs, the same customers NextSilicon needs to expand into beyond Sandia. Could AI do the core job? Unlikely.
02
Bigger players: Nvidia. Nvidia holds roughly 80% of AI accelerator share and can bundle HPC performance with its dominant AI stack, squeezing the niche NextSilicon depends on. Could a giant copy it? Yes, easily.
03
What protects it. Sandia's Spectra system passed full acceptance in May 2026, giving NextSilicon a validated, deployed proof point Nvidia hasn't matched in this workload class.
What would change this call
NextSilicon announces a new funding round ($150M+) within 12 months. Shows whether it can fund its capital-intensive RISC-V roadmap or faces a survival crunch.
Vanguard program expands to Livermore or Los Alamos beyond Sandia. Would show NextSilicon's tech generalizes beyond one validated deployment.
DOE labs publicly select Nvidia Rubin over Maverick-2 for a comparable HPC evaluation. Would show Nvidia displacing NextSilicon in its core niche.
Key numbers
  • Spectra supercomputer (128 Maverick-2 chips) hit full acceptance (2026-05-18)
  • No confirmed funding round in about 21 months (2026-06-22)
  • Headcount grew to about 370 employees (2026-05-25)
Named risks
  • No confirmed funding round since October 2024 while running a capital-intensive fab and tapeout roadmap. Severity: high
  • Nvidia's Rubin GPU platform contesting the same DOE labs Next Silicon depends on for validation. Severity: high
  • Revenue undisclosed and third-party estimates conflict by roughly 20x, leaving no reliable financial visibility. Severity: medium
  • Moat rests heavily on one marquee customer relationship, the Sandia Vanguard program, not yet repeated elsewhere. Severity: medium
Rivals, as read in July 2026
RivalDirectionEvidence
NvidiacontestingRubin GPUs launching late 2026, already adopted by DOE labs for Doudna supercomputer as of May 2026
Cerebras Systemsgaining onCompleted IPO in 2026 at reported ~$23B valuation, dwarfing Next Silicon's private funding base
Groqgaining onReached ~$6.9B valuation as of May 2026, well ahead of Next Silicon's last known ~$1.6B valuation
SambaNova SystemscontestingRaised ~$350M in 2026 to compete in reconfigurable dataflow accelerators, same niche as Maverick-2
Questions people ask
Is Next Silicon profitable in 2026?
Next Silicon is private and discloses no audited revenue or profit figures. As of June 2026 there has been no confirmed funding round since October 2024, and the company has shipped tens of millions of dollars in Maverick-2 orders since October 2024, but no profitability claim has been made public.
Has Next Silicon had layoffs?
No layoffs have been reported. The company's own March 2025 press release stated headcount had surpassed 300 employees globally, and it continues active hiring for compiler, hardware, and AI-workload roles across Israel, Serbia, and the US as of mid 2026.
Could AI replace Next Silicon?
No, Next Silicon builds physical accelerator chips and compiler runtime IP, not services an AI model could automate. Its real threat is a competing chip platform: Nvidia's Rubin GPUs, launching later in 2026, are already being adopted by DOE labs for mixed AI/HPC systems like Doudna.
Who is Next Silicon's biggest competitor?
Nvidia, which holds roughly 80% of the AI-accelerator market as of April 2026 and is launching its Rubin GPU platform in late 2026, already winning adoption at the same US Department of Energy labs Next Silicon targets with its Maverick-2 chip.
Who owns Next Silicon?
Next Silicon is privately held with no controlling parent. Its Series B closed June 14, 2021 at $200 million raised and a $1.5 billion valuation, backed by Third Point Ventures, Playground Global, Aleph, and Amiti Ventures among others; total funding reached about $303 million by October 2024.
What does Next Silicon actually make?
Next Silicon builds Maverick-2, a runtime-reconfigurable dataflow accelerator under its Intelligent Compute Architecture, designed to run existing C/C++/Fortran code without rewrites for HPC and AI workloads. Sandia National Laboratories' 128-accelerator Spectra system achieved full system acceptance on May 18, 2026.
Timeline
  • 2026-06-30Cornelis and NextSilicon announce joint reference architectures for AI and HPC at ISC 2026
  • 2026-06-10NextSilicon announces plan to productize Arbel RISC-V CPU, targeting Q1 2028 launch
  • 2026-05-18Sandia's Spectra supercomputer achieves full system acceptance under NNSA Vanguard program
  • 2025-10-24NextSilicon reveals Arbel RISC-V test chip built on TSMC 5nm
  • 2025-03-19NextSilicon named to Fast Company's Most Innovative Companies 2025 list
  • 2024-10-30NextSilicon reports tens of millions in Maverick-2 orders; total funding reaches ~$303M, valuation ~$1.6B
  • 2021-06-14NextSilicon closes Series B, $200M raised at $1.5B valuation
Revision history
29 July 2026
First assessed. Losing its protection. The text above is fixed as of this date and is not edited afterwards.
In the same band
Sources