Will your business survive the AI era?
The calls we have checked
Airtable, assessed losing its protection. Sold for about $1.27 billion on 5 August 2026, roughly 89% below the $11.6 billion valuation of its December 2021 round, and below the $2.6 to $4 billion secondary-market range the July evidence recorded.
Every call on the record, oldest first →
The five bands
Where protection is eroding
| Sector | Assessed | Bottom two bands | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto and digital asset companies | 337 | 78.0% | |
| BPO and customer operations firms | 171 | 77.8% | |
| AI companies and labs | 263 | 77.6% | |
| Consumer internet and adtech companies | 108 | 71.3% | |
| Creator economy and media tech | 131 | 71.0% | |
| Education companies | 286 | 69.2% |
Against 53.3% across all companies assessed. The most protected sector is Insurance companies at 5.8%. All 48 sectors →
Findings
- AI Companies Ranked by Durability: 263 Assessed
- Durability Ranking: Banks and Financial Groups
- Durability Ranking: BPO and Customer Operations Firms
- Durability Ranking: Broadcast and Traditional Media
- Durability Ranking: Accounting, Tax and Business Software (2026)
The graveyard
62 companies that no longer exist: what each looked like before the end, and, for 60 of them, what a blind test with the evidence cut off before the end returned. Of 109 dead companies graded blind, none was called safe.
Chegg, closed 2026: Chegg: subscription homework help site pivoting to corporate skills training.
How we make a call
Each company was researched from public sources, assessed independently three times, and the assessments reconciled into one band. Every assessment carries a checkpoint: a named event and the date from which it can be checked. Claims are fixed at their call date and never edited; outcomes are added as they are checked, whether or not the call was right.