WillItSurvive
United States · United States

Wasabi

Wasabi sells flat-rate, zero-egress cloud object storage as a cheaper S3 alternative.

Losing its protection
Assessed 29 July 2026 · Evidence as of 29 July 2026
The structural protection is eroding.
On the recordSince 29 July 2026 · Checkable from Q4 2026 · Every call on the record Checkpoint: Seagate Lyve Cloud customer migration outcome after acquisition closes
The call

Wasabi survives on a price gap that hyperscaler egress fees create, while Cloudflare R2, Backblaze B2, and Storj sell the same zero-egress pitch.

Wasabi stores data in the cloud for companies and charges less than Amazon Web Services, mainly because AWS makes money by charging fees when data leaves its system. Wasabi has real advantages: relationships with 18,000 partners and backing from hard drive makers Seagate and Western Digital. But the business is hard to defend because other companies like Cloudflare, Backblaze, and smaller rivals now offer nearly identical service at similar low prices. The one thing that matters most is whether Amazon and Microsoft eventually lower their exit fees under pressure from new European rules. If they do, Wasabi's main reason to exist shrinks from being five times cheaper to just being a little bit cheaper, which is much harder to sell.

Why
01
AI pressure: None apparent. AI workloads generate more data to store, not less; Wasabi AiR tags and indexes media rather than competing with model providers. Could AI do the core job? Unlikely.
02
Bigger players: AWS and Azure egress-fee policy. AWS keeps high egress fees to lock customers in, but EU Data Act pressure is pushing hyperscalers toward cheaper exit terms. Could a giant copy it? Probably.
03
What protects it. AWS and Azure make too much money on egress fees to match Wasabi's flat, zero-egress pricing without hurting their own lock-in revenue.
What would change this call
Wasabi's ARR growth rate in next funding update or press release. Shows whether growth is reaccelerating above 25% or staying near current ~19% pace.
AWS or Azure formally eliminates or broadly reduces egress fees. Would remove the structural pricing wedge Wasabi relies on against hyperscalers.
Seagate Lyve Cloud customer retention data over next 6 months post-acquisition. Indicates whether the acquisition adds durable revenue or triggers churn.
Key numbers
  • $1.8B valuation after $70M raise (2026-01-12)
  • $250M credit facility closed with Bain Capital (2026-04-20)
  • 100,000+ customers, 18,000 channel partners (2026-05-22)
Named risks
  • AWS and Azure waiving egress fees on exit erodes Wasabi's core pricing differentiator. Severity: high
  • Crowded field of Cloudflare R2, Backblaze B2, IDrive e2, and Storj offering identical zero-egress model. Severity: high
  • Growth funded via $250M credit facility rather than confirmed operating profit. Severity: medium
  • Integration of Seagate's Lyve Cloud customer base could disrupt retention within months. Severity: medium
  • Revenue figures are unaudited estimates from third-party aggregators, obscuring true financial health. Severity: low
Rivals, as read in July 2026
RivalDirectionEvidence
Cloudflare R2contestingOffers identical S3-compatible zero-egress storage; direct competitor per PitchBook, 2026
Backblaze B2contestingQ1 2026 benchmark showed no provider dominating all categories, per helpnetsecurity, 2026-04-02
AWS S3contestingAWS waives egress fees on customer exit since March 2024, softening Wasabi's pricing wedge
Seagate Lyve Cloudgaining onWasabi acquired Lyve Cloud's customer base in April 2026, calling it a minor competitor
IDrive e2contestingListed as direct S3-compatible flat-rate competitor per PitchBook, 2026
Storj DCScontestingListed as direct S3-compatible flat-rate competitor per PitchBook, 2026
Questions people ask
Is Wasabi profitable in 2026?
No public profit figures exist. Wasabi closed a $250M credit facility led by Bain Capital Private Credit in April 2026 to fund infrastructure, suggesting growth is financed through debt and equity rather than internal profit generation.
Who owns Wasabi Technologies?
Wasabi is privately held, led by L2 Point Management as lead investor since its 2022 unicorn round. Fidelity Management, Pure Storage, and Seagate (via its April 2026 Lyve Cloud sale) hold equity stakes as of 2026.
Could AI replace Wasabi's storage business?
No. AI increases demand for Wasabi's object storage rather than replacing it; CFO Michael Bayer said in January 2026 that AI needs data, and customers retain data specifically for future AI use cases.
Is Wasabi a safe company to join in 2026?
Headcount grew from about 490 in September 2024 to roughly 590 by July 2026, an 8% year-over-year increase, with no reported layoffs. Crustdata rates its growth score at 28 out of 100, indicating steady but modest expansion.
Who is Wasabi's biggest competitor?
Wasabi competes directly with Cloudflare R2, Backblaze B2, IDrive e2, and Storj DCS, all offering S3-compatible, zero-egress-fee cloud storage. A Backblaze Q1 2026 benchmark found no single provider dominated across all performance categories.
Did Wasabi raise new funding in 2026?
Yes. Wasabi raised $70M in equity in January 2026 at a $1.8B valuation, then closed a $250M credit facility in April 2026 led by Bain Capital Private Credit, bringing total funding raised to over $700M.
Timeline
  • 2026-05-20Wasabi signs data-protection deal with Sophia School Corporation in Japan
  • 2026-04-20Wasabi closes $250M credit facility led by Bain Capital Private Credit
  • 2026-04-08Wasabi acquires Seagate's Lyve Cloud business; Seagate becomes shareholder
  • 2026-01-12Wasabi raises $70M equity at $1.8B valuation, led by L2 Point Management
  • 2026-01-01Wasabi launches Covert Copy air-gap cyber-resilience feature
  • 2025-12-01Wasabi announces Wasabi Fire NVMe storage class and San Jose region
  • 2024-10-28Wasabi appoints Jon Howes as SVP Global Sales; reports 90,000+ customers
  • 2024-04-08Wasabi launches Wasabi AiR AI media storage, following Curio AI acquisition
  • 2022-09Wasabi raises $250M led by L2 Point Management, reaching $1.1B unicorn valuation
Revision history
29 July 2026
First assessed. Losing its protection. The text above is fixed as of this date and is not edited afterwards.
In the same band
Sources