WillItSurvive

YC Fall 2025

Early reads. These 713 companies across 4 YC batches were assessed in July 2026 on limited public evidence. None is hard to displace, and 4 are defensible for now. These standings rest on less evidence than the rest of the site.

152 companies assessed. 124 of them, 81.6%, sit in the two least protected bands. Across all 10,525 companies assessed the share is 53.3%.

The picture

This batch is mostly startups piling into spaces that big companies already own. Out of 152 companies, 77 are losing its protection and only 47 sit in what got called little protection left, and even that label mostly means the field is unsettled and crowded, not that the company has an edge. The pattern repeats across categories: AI agent tooling, no-code agent builders, observability, browser agents, and health coaching apps all have multiple YC entrants chasing the same buyers that Microsoft, Google, Salesforce, Meta, and well funded specialists like Aidoc, Encord, and Applied Intuition are already serving. The one thing that decides who survives here is whether a company has a real wedge that a platform giant or better funded rival cannot just ship as a feature. Companies with a narrow, hard technical or regulatory foothold, like construction QA/QC checks or NFC hardware tied to specific facilities, have a slightly better shot than the ones selling a thin AI wrapper around a workflow that OpenAI, Anthropic, or Microsoft can absorb in a product update. Most of this batch is racing incumbents that already have the users.

All 152 companies, most protected first
CompanyStanding
Absurd
AI-agent studio that turns frontier video models into branded ad campaigns
Protection under test
Aleph Lab
AI language-tutor characters living inside Minecraft, aimed at kids learning English
Protection under test
Aspect
AI-native media storage platform for creative teams, founded by ex-Shade staff
Protection under test
AtlasGrid
AI agent that crawls mobile apps to map UI screens with analytics overlays
Protection under test
Clicks
AI agents that automate back-office healthcare billing and claims work
Protection under test
Cranston AI
AI back office for CPA firms: tax prep, bookkeeping, client requests
Protection under test
Deeptrace
AI agent that investigates production software incidents using logs, traces, and code
Protection under test
Fifth Door
AI startup letting anyone create casual games like trivia by chatting with a bot
Protection under test
Flick
AI filmmaking canvas that lets people direct AI-generated short films and shows
Protection under test
Forge Robotics
YC F25 startup building AI vision for robotic metal welding and fabrication
Protection under test
Helonic
AI tool that scans construction PDF drawings to flag clashes and code errors
Protection under test
Hypercubic
AI startup building agents to maintain and modernize COBOL mainframe code
Protection under test
Karumi
AI agent that joins live video calls and gives personalized 24/7 product demos
Protection under test
Kestrel AI
Two-person YC F25 startup building AI agents that automate platform engineering tasks
Protection under test
Lightberry
Software layer that gives humanoid robots voice, emotion, and social behavior across brands
Protection under test
Lunavo
Two-person YC F25 startup building an AI back-office assistant for freight forwarders
Protection under test
MarkIt
MarkIt builds AI agents to automate customs tariff classification and trade compliance
Protection under test
Moss
Moss builds an embedded Rust/WASM retrieval engine for real-time voice and agent search
Protection under test
Nerviom
AI tool that automates paperwork for infrastructure permitting projects
Protection under test
Nessie
Syncs ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini chats into one shared memory layer for people and agents
Protection under test
SellRaze
AI tool that turns one photo into cross-posted listings on eBay, Poshmark, Mercari, and more
Protection under test
SF Tensor
Early-stage startup selling a cross-cloud GPU cost and kernel optimization layer for AI training
Protection under test
Specific
Builds and deploys production backends from natural language, on Neon Postgres
Protection under test
Specific Labs
Two-person YC startup selling audio and workflow data for AI training
Protection under test
Trelium
AI agent builder for branded merchandise and promo-industry back-office operations
Protection under test
Unsiloed AI
API that parses messy documents (PDFs, scans, forms) into clean data for LLM apps
Protection under test
Velvet
4-person YC lab selling multimodal training data and evals to AI labs
Protection under test
Zarna
AI agents that automate deal sourcing and diligence work for PE associates.
Protection under test
AirCaps
AI copilot glasses for live captioning, translation, and meeting notes in person
Losing its protection
Allus AI
Builds a specialized vision AI model for spotting defects on factory lines
Losing its protection
Amera
Amera automates claims normalization and processing for health insurance payers and TPAs
Losing its protection
Amika
Two-person startup building an orchestration layer so AI coding agents write and verify code
Losing its protection
AnswerThis
AI assistant that searches, summarizes, and cites academic papers for researchers
Losing its protection
Anto Biosciences
Tiny startup building an AI foundation model to predict microbiome behavior
Losing its protection
Autonomous Technologies Group
AI financial advisor startup offering 0% advisory fees, monetized via direct indexing
Losing its protection
Bluma
Bluma turns reference videos into short-form UGC ad content via AI templates
Losing its protection
Bolna AI
India-focused voice AI platform routing calls across models for local languages and businesses
Losing its protection
Boom AI
AI agents that call, text, and email customers to win back lost sales and unpaid bills
Losing its protection
Bravi
AI voice and chat assistants that answer calls and quote jobs for home services firms
Losing its protection
Brickanta
Swedish YC startup building agentic AI that drafts tenders and checks compliance for construction planners
Losing its protection
Brickwise
AI voice and text agent (Alice) that handles tenant maintenance calls for landlords and agents
Losing its protection
Caddy
Caddy is a texting native AI assistant that lives in iMessage and SMS for everyday tasks
Losing its protection
Casey
Swiss AI-native commercial insurance brokerage, YC F25, five employees
Losing its protection
Coasts
Free CLI that isolates ports and services so parallel AI coding agents don't collide on one machine
Losing its protection
Codyco
AI phone receptionist that answers hotel calls and books rooms into the PMS
Losing its protection
ComplyDo
AI compliance platform helping EU enterprises meet DORA, NIS2, and CRA rules
Losing its protection
Cortex AI
Startup collecting real-world robot and human data to train embodied AI models
Losing its protection
Crunched
AI agent that works inside Excel and PowerPoint for finance and consulting teams
Losing its protection
Denki
Three-person startup building AI agents that run internal SOX and AML audits atop AuditBoard, Workiva, and ERPs
Losing its protection
Digipals
AI-native group chat app where personal agents plan hangouts, book calls, split bills
Losing its protection
DiligenceSquared
AI voice-agent platform running expert interviews for PE due diligence
Losing its protection
Everest
Everest sells AI agents that resolve IT tickets for outsourced MSPs
Losing its protection
Fastshot
Fastshot turns text prompts into native iOS and Android apps using AI
Losing its protection
Fernstone
AI-native insurance brokerage for SMBs, focused on construction and trades coverage
Losing its protection
Goldbridge
AI tool that scans landlord spending to find tax, utility, and vendor savings
Losing its protection
hillclimb
Supplies elite human math experts and RL training data to AI labs building reasoning models
Losing its protection
Hyperspell
Startup building a shared memory layer that feeds context from work apps into AI agents
Losing its protection
Icarus
Early-stage startup building solar-powered stratospheric drones for military ISR (HAPS)
Losing its protection
Imagine AI
AI-generated LinkedIn content service for B2B executive teams
Losing its protection
Koyal
Koyal builds agentic AI tools for music video filmmaking with consent verification
Losing its protection
Lakonia
Builds offline AI radio co-pilot for tactical, denied-environment command and control
Losing its protection
Leadbay
AI tool that finds SMB sales leads too small to show up on LinkedIn or web scrapes
Losing its protection
Lua AI
TypeScript agent platform (Agent OS) letting mid-market firms build AI agents
Losing its protection
Lua Global Inc
WhatsApp-first AI agent platform selling to mid-market firms in Africa, Middle East, South Asia via agencies
Losing its protection
Lunabill
AI voice agents that call insurers to chase down unpaid hospital claims
Losing its protection
Mayflower
AI plug-in that automates employer immigration screening and compliance
Losing its protection
Metorial
Metorial hosts and manages Model Context Protocol (MCP) servers for AI agents, calling itself Vercel for MCP
Losing its protection
Miniswap
Miniswap is a marketplace for buying and selling used tabletop miniatures like Warhammer
Losing its protection
Minro
Minro is a 2-person YC startup flagging churn risk from PostHog data for founder-led teams
Losing its protection
Mixy
App that lets anyone auto-blend two songs into a mashup, no DJ skills needed
Losing its protection
MOVEdot
MOVEdot builds AI agents that help engineers analyze telemetry, simulation, and test data together
Losing its protection
MSPilot
Startup that bills MSPs for managing their clients' AI tool rollouts
Losing its protection
Narrative
Three-person startup building an AI video-editing assistant for sports, post, and weddings
Losing its protection
Nexus
No-code platform letting business teams build AI agents without engineers
Losing its protection
Norra
AI platform tracking and managing medical equipment for nursing facilities via NFC hardware
Losing its protection
Parametric
Seed-stage startup building robots that run laundromats without staff
Losing its protection
Parse
Parse turns any website into a callable API, built by a two-person team out of YC
Losing its protection
Perseus
Early-stage startup building fast codebase search for AI coding agents
Losing its protection
Philon
Philon collects real-world video data of people doing tasks to train robot AI models
Losing its protection
Piggy Robotics
YC-backed startup building sub-$1000 humanoid robots for household chores
Losing its protection
Pixley AI
App that turns parent prompts into short personalized AI cartoon episodes for kids
Losing its protection
Play Health
Early-stage perimenopause app pivoting to clinical decision support infrastructure for providers
Losing its protection
Prox
AI technical support tool for complex physical products: powersports, ag, HVAC, firearms
Losing its protection
Rivet
Rivet is an MCP tool that lets AI coding agents generate and compare UI variants
Losing its protection
Rovi Health
Text-first, nurse-led care navigation platform helping employers cut health spend
Losing its protection
Rovr
AI tool that automates delivery work for AI vendors, IT consultants, and services teams
Losing its protection
s2.dev
REST API for durable, unlimited, real-time data streams built on object storage
Losing its protection
Sava
Early-stage startup building AI agents to automate trust paperwork and become a trustee
Losing its protection
Scoop
YC-backed startup building AI agents to automate IND regulatory filings for biotech
Losing its protection
Scott AI
Planning workspace for teams that build software using AI coding agents
Losing its protection
Semble AI
Two-person YC startup turning floor plans into code-compliant trade designs
Losing its protection
SF Tensor Company
Early-stage startup building cross-cloud GPU orchestration and a GPU-aware compiler for AI training
Losing its protection
Sorce
Sorce is a swipe app where an AI agent fills out and submits job applications for you
Losing its protection
Soren
Early-stage startup building AI workflow tools for regulated industries like banking and healthcare
Losing its protection
Structured AI
AI agents that read construction drawings and run automated QA/QC checks
Losing its protection
Sunflower
AI-powered sobriety app pairing users with an AI sponsor and AI-driven therapy chat
Losing its protection
Telemetron
AI customer support software built for hardware and medical device companies
Losing its protection
Terrain
AI-native sales software for contractors, restaurants, and other physical-economy businesses
Losing its protection
Tornyol
French startup building 40g AI micro-drones that hunt and kill mosquitoes with sonar
Losing its protection
Uplane
AI system that builds and runs ad campaigns instead of a marketing agency
Losing its protection
Veria Labs
3-person YC startup building AI agents that pentest code continuously via CI/CD
Losing its protection
Wardstone
Wardstone builds satellite based interceptors for missile defense, pre revenue since 2025
Losing its protection
Zalos
AI agents that log into finance software to reconcile books and close month-end
Losing its protection
Zavo
Zavo builds an AI operating system and point of sale for restaurants, UK based
Losing its protection
Zephyr Fusion
Two-person startup building a compact fusion reactor meant to power satellites in orbit
Losing its protection
Antigen
3-person startup selling nightly AI pentesting plus monthly human red-team checks
Little protection left
Aside
A 5-person startup building an AI browser that does online tasks for you
Little protection left
Automax.ai
AI-native startup automating residential home appraisals with software and data
Little protection left
Bron
Bron is a chat AI assistant that aggregates sportsbook and prediction-market odds for bettors.
Little protection left
Castari
Made a secure sandbox/runtime for AI agents, then shelved it for a new startup
Little protection left
Clad Labs
Two-person maker of Chad IDE, an entertainment layer for AI coding-agent wait times
Little protection left
Compyle
AI coding agent that plans and asks before acting, built on Claude, Gemini, and GLM
Little protection left
dari.dev
A two-person startup building deployment and routing tools for AI agents
Little protection left
Dome
Built a unified API layer over Polymarket and Kalshi prediction market data
Little protection left
Efference
Makes cheap AI-powered stereo cameras that give robots depth vision
Little protection left
Exonic
A no-code platform layering open-source AI models onto drug discovery workflows
Little protection left
Expected Parrot
Open-source toolkit (EDSL) for running AI-agent surveys and simulating customer responses
Little protection left
Freeport Markets
App that turns Twitter and Reddit chatter into no-KYC trades on stocks, crypto, pre-IPO
Little protection left
item
item is a small YC-backed AI CRM startup for early sales teams.
Little protection left
Jarmin
Startup selling AI agents that do human jobs like analyst, paralegal, sales rep
Little protection left
JSX Tool
Browser extension for clicking React elements and editing source code live
Little protection left
Kaigo Health
AI tool that scans nursing home billing to catch denials and underpayments
Little protection left
Kalpa Labs
Two-person startup building a generalist speech AI model, trained cheaply
Little protection left
Lapis
Small AI tool that writes, launches, and tunes ad campaigns across platforms
Little protection left
Lemma
Lemma builds monitoring tools that catch AI agents failing silently in production
Little protection left
Lexi
Lexi builds AI legal associate software so law firms can automate casework and research.
Little protection left
Locus
Non-custodial wallet giving AI agents controlled spending power in USDC
Little protection left
Logical
Two-person YC startup building a screen-watching AI copilot that drafts emails and notes
Little protection left
LogosGuard
Browser extension that strips sensitive data from prompts before they reach ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini
Little protection left
MadeThis
AI 'co-founder' that builds sites, Stripe, and ads for small businesses
Little protection left
Mantle
2-person YC startup building AI agents to automate back-office CRM, email, and calendar work
Little protection left
Mod AI
Early-stage startup building AI agents to automate accounts payable for finance teams
Little protection left
Multifactor
Early-stage startup building identity and access controls for AI agents
Little protection left
Nori
Nori is a small AI health coach app pulling wearable data into daily recommendations
Little protection left
Nucleo
Nucleo makes AI software that scans CT images to flag tumors for radiologists
Little protection left
Null Labs
Null Labs builds simulation software to train and test autonomous defense systems
Little protection left
Openroll
Openroll is a tiny AI tool that shows companies what competitors pay employees
Little protection left
Patent Watch
AI tool that parses patents and auto-generates infringement claim charts
Little protection left
Primer
Primer builds AI agents that demo, onboard, and support other companies' software
Little protection left
Redapto
Two-person startup building an AI layer that audits customer support chats for quality
Little protection left
Remedy
AI phone agent that answers routine calls for independent community pharmacies
Little protection left
Sciloop
Sciloop pays STEM olympiad medalists to write ultra-hard problems for frontier AI labs to test on
Little protection left
Selfin
Pre-launch AI banking app aiming to aggregate accounts and auto-optimize money
Little protection left
Semiotic
YC-backed studio that uses AI models to generate polished websites and design work
Little protection left
Sol
Sol: free macOS browser where each tab runs a coding agent, terminal, or diff viewer
Little protection left
Sourcebot
Self-hosted code search and AI agent context layer, built atop Sourcegraph's own open-source Zoekt engine
Little protection left
Sylvian
Two-person YC startup selling AI training data and PDF form automation, no customers named yet
Little protection left
Tell if AI
Runs fleets of AI agents that post human-passing content across social platforms for brands
Little protection left
Tensr
Tensr is a stealth-mode startup building fully autonomous robotic factories for small-batch manufacturing
Little protection left
The Context Company
Two-person YC F25 startup building observability tools for AI agents in production
Little protection left
The Hog
Multi-provider web intelligence API letting AI agents and GTM teams pull live company/people data.
Little protection left
Thesis
3-person YC startup building an autonomous AI agent for scientific research
Little protection left
Questions people ask
which YC Fall 2025 startups will survive the AI era
Very few look set up to hold ground long term based on the pressure they already face. Structured AI, Norra, Telemetron, and Sava have the lowest pressure and highest moat scores in the batch, mostly because they sit in narrower niches like construction QA or nursing facility hardware rather than general AI agent tools.
did any YC Fall 2025 companies already fail
Dome is effectively gone as an independent product. Polymarket absorbed it and shut down its APIs by late April 2026, and developer attention moved to pmxt and PolyRouter instead.
why are so many YC startups building AI agent tools
The batch is heavily weighted toward agent infrastructure, no-code agent builders, and agent observability, but Microsoft, Google, Salesforce, and the AI labs themselves are shipping the same features natively, so most of these startups are competing for space that is closing rather than opening.
is Nucleo's cancer detection AI going to survive against Aidoc
Nucleo faces real risk. Aidoc has over 500 million dollars in funding, more than 20 FDA clearances, and is already in about 2,000 hospitals, and it is roadmapping directly into the cancer segmentation work that Nucleo does.
which YC F25 startups have the least competition
Norra and Telemetron report the lowest pressure scores in the batch, at 2 and 3, largely because their focus areas, medical equipment tracking and hardware customer support, are narrower than the crowded general AI agent space most of the batch entered.
what happened to Dome YC startup
Dome built an API layer over Polymarket and Kalshi prediction market data, but Polymarket absorbed it and sunset its APIs by April 28, 2026, while other tools like pmxt and PolyRouter took over developer interest.
What to watch
Other cohorts