WillItSurvive

Space, defense and state enterprises

184 companies assessed. 65 of them, 35.3%, sit in the two least protected bands, against 53.3% across all 10,525 companies assessed.

The picture

Space, defense and state enterprises split into two very different worlds right now. On one side sit the state-owned giants with legal monopolies or near-monopolies: China's CNNC, CASC, CASIC and CETC, along with Rafael, Naval Group, and BWX Technologies. These companies build nuclear submarines, missile systems, and reactor cores that only one or two entities on earth are licensed to produce. Nobody is taking their customers because there is nowhere else for those customers to go. On the other side sit commercial space and satellite companies that thought they had defensible businesses and are now watching SpaceX, Anduril, ICEYE, and China's own private launchers eat into their share. Blue Origin, Viasat, SES, Telesat, and Eutelsat are all losing ground to Starlink's launch cadence and broadband reach. Kratos and AeroVironment are losing head-to-head drone contracts to Anduril and Shield AI. Maxar and Capella are losing imaging deals to ICEYE's faster-scaling constellation. The one thing deciding who survives is whether a company's business depends on a government-granted monopoly or on winning open competitions against faster-moving private rivals. Monopoly status is holding up fine. Competitive markets in launch, satellite broadband, imaging, and autonomous systems are being reshuffled hard, and several small players (Orbex, Rebellion Defense, ABL Space) have already folded or lost their footing entirely.

All 184 companies, most protected first
CompanyStanding
Aselsan
Turkey's state-backed maker of missiles, radar, EW and air-defense systems for its own military and exports
Hard to displace
Astra Microwave Products
Indian maker of RF and microwave hardware for defense radar, EW and space systems
Hard to displace
Bharat Electronics
State-owned Indian maker of defense radar, sonar, and communication electronics
Hard to displace
BWX Technologies
Sole US builder of naval nuclear reactor cores and fuel for the Navy
Hard to displace
CAE Inc.
CAE builds and operates full-flight simulators and training systems for airlines and defense forces
Hard to displace
China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation (CASIC)
State-owned Chinese conglomerate holding the legal monopoly on PLA missile production
Hard to displace
China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation
China's state-owned prime for rockets, missiles, and crewed spaceflight
Hard to displace
China Electronics Corporation (CEC)
State-owned Chinese conglomerate building chips, defense electronics, and IT systems
Hard to displace
China Electronics Technology Group Corporation (CETC)
State-owned Chinese conglomerate building defense electronics, radar, and PLA systems
Hard to displace
China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC)
State-owned Chinese nuclear operator, one of only two entities licensed to run reactors and build weapons
Hard to displace
Cochin Shipyard
India's leading state-controlled shipbuilder, the only yard that has built an aircraft carrier
Hard to displace
Codan Limited
Australian maker of tactical radios, soldier-network hubs, and metal detectors for defense and safety
Hard to displace
Curtiss-Wright Corporation
Maker of certified components for military jets, submarines, and nuclear reactors
Hard to displace
Daicel Corporation
Japanese chemicals maker: airbag inflators, LCP/POM plastics, cellulose acetate
Hard to displace
Dassault Aviation
French builder of Rafale fighter jets and Falcon business jets
Hard to displace
Data Patterns (India) Limited
Indian designer of radar, electronic warfare, and test systems for defense and space
Hard to displace
Diehl Defence
German maker of IRIS-T missiles and guided air-defense systems for NATO nations
Hard to displace
Elbit Systems
Israeli maker of defense electronics, sensors, and weapons systems for militaries worldwide
Hard to displace
FN Herstal
Belgian state-owned maker of military and police small arms, rifles, and weapon systems
Hard to displace
FNSS Defence Systems
Turkish maker of tracked and wheeled armored vehicles, wholly owned by Nurol Holding
Hard to displace
Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers
State-owned Indian shipyard building warships and support vessels for the Navy
Hard to displace
General Atomics
Private defense prime that builds MQ-9 Reaper drones and other military aircraft
Hard to displace
Hanwha Systems
South Korean defense electronics maker building radars, missiles, satellites for the military
Hard to displace
Havelsan
Turkish state-owned defense software firm building C4ISR, simulators, and military AI systems
Hard to displace
Hensoldt
German maker of radar, EW, and optronics for Eurofighter, IRIS-T, naval and land platforms
Hard to displace
Hindustan Shipyard Limited
State-owned Indian shipyard building naval ships and submarines for the government
Hard to displace
Honeywell Aerospace
Tier-1 supplier of avionics, engines, and aircraft systems, spun off from Honeywell in June 2026
Hard to displace
Hyundai Rotem
South Korean maker of K2 tanks, armored vehicles, and trains for export and home
Hard to displace
ICEYE
ICEYE runs a fleet of radar satellites that image Earth through clouds and darkness for governments and insurers.
Hard to displace
IHI Corporation
Japanese industrial group building jet engines, defense hardware, and space and infrastructure gear
Hard to displace
Israel Aerospace Industries
Israeli state-owned maker of missiles, radar, drones and air defense systems like Arrow and Barak
Hard to displace
Israel Weapon Industries (IWI)
Israeli maker of military rifles like the Tavor and Negev, tied closely to the IDF.
Hard to displace
Kongsberg Gruppen
Norwegian maker of NASAMS air defense, NSM/JSM missiles, and naval sensors
Hard to displace
Korea Aerospace Industries
South Korea's state-backed maker of fighter jets, trainers, and helicopters
Hard to displace
Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering (KSOE)
South Korean shipbuilder building commercial vessels and naval ships for Korea and allied navies
Hard to displace
Korean Air Aerospace Division
Korean Air's aerospace arm builds military drones and MRO, and supplies Boeing/Airbus structural parts
Hard to displace
Larsen & Toubro Defence
L&T's defence arm builds artillery, tanks, submarines, and missiles for India's military
Hard to displace
Leonardo DRS
US defense electronics maker building sensors, radar, and infrared systems for military platforms
Hard to displace
Leonardo S.p.A.
Italian aerospace, defense, and security company building helicopters, jets, satellites, and defense electronics
Hard to displace
LIG Nex1
South Korean maker of missiles, radar, and air-defense systems for the military
Hard to displace
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders
State-owned Indian shipyard building navy destroyers and submarines
Hard to displace
MBDA
Tri-national European missile maker owned by Airbus, BAE, and Leonardo, arming 90+ militaries
Hard to displace
Mercury Systems
Makes secure embedded processing and RF hardware for military jets, radar, and missiles
Hard to displace
Mishra Dhatu Nigam (MIDHANI)
State-owned Indian maker of special metal alloys for defense, space, and nuclear programs
Hard to displace
Moog Inc.
Moog makes precision motion control hardware for aircraft, defense, and space systems
Hard to displace
Nammo
Norwegian-Finnish maker of ammunition, rocket motors, and missile propulsion systems
Hard to displace
Naval Group
French state-majority builder of nuclear submarines and frigates for France and allies
Hard to displace
NewSpace India Limited
Government-owned company that sells ISRO rocket launches and satellites to commercial and defence customers
Hard to displace
Otokar
Turkish maker of armored military vehicles and buses, majority owned by Koç Holding
Hard to displace
Patria
Finnish maker of armored vehicles, F-35 parts, and F135 engines for NATO militaries
Hard to displace
Planet Labs PBC
Planet Labs runs 200+ satellites that image nearly all of Earth's land daily and sells that data.
Hard to displace
PT PAL Indonesia
Indonesia's state-owned shipyard building navy frigates, submarines, and export warships
Hard to displace
QinetiQ Group
UK defense company running physical test ranges and engineering services for the MoD and allies
Hard to displace
Rafael Advanced Defense Systems
Israeli state-owned maker of Iron Dome, Iron Beam, TROPHY, and SPIKE missile systems
Hard to displace
Rheinmetall AG
Germany's largest defense prime, making tanks, ammunition, and now warships
Hard to displace
Roketsan
Turkish state-backed maker of missiles, rockets, and loitering munitions
Hard to displace
Saab AB
Swedish defense maker of Gripen jets, GlobalEye radar planes, and submarines
Hard to displace
Sierra Nevada Corporation
Private defense contractor building sole-source military aircraft and electronics systems
Hard to displace
Sky Perfect JSAT Corporation
Japan's largest satellite operator, running GEO fleet, pay-TV, and defense links
Hard to displace
Solar Industries India
Indian maker of industrial explosives and defense munitions like Pinaka rockets and BrahMos boosters
Hard to displace
ST Engineering
Singapore's state-backed defense, aerospace MRO, and urban engineering conglomerate
Hard to displace
STM Defence
Turkey's state-designated systems integrator for naval, drone, and C4ISR defense programs
Hard to displace
Tata Advanced Systems
Tata Group's defense and aerospace manufacturer building fighter parts, aircraft, drones, and armored vehicles
Hard to displace
Teledyne Technologies
Makes sensors, imaging systems and instruments for defense, aerospace and industrial customers
Hard to displace
Turkish Aerospace Industries
Turkey's state-owned prime building fighter jets, helicopters, drones, and trainers
Hard to displace
Adani Defence & Aerospace
Adani's defense arm building fighters, munitions, and drones for India's military.
Defensible for now
Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation
Taiwan's sole builder of indigenous military jets and trainer aircraft
Defensible for now
ArianeGroup
Franco-German rocket and missile motor maker behind Ariane 6 and France's M51
Defensible for now
Austal
Australian shipbuilder building naval and defense vessels for the US, Australian, and allied navies
Defensible for now
Aviation Industry Corporation of China (AVIC)
China's state-owned aerospace giant and sole legal builder of PLA military aircraft
Defensible for now
Avio S.p.A.
Italian maker of Vega rocket engines and solid propellant for European and US defense
Defensible for now
Baykar
Turkish maker of Bayraktar combat drones, world's top UCAV exporter for 3 years
Defensible for now
Bharat Dynamics Limited
India's state-owned maker of missiles, torpedoes, and Akash/Astra weapon systems
Defensible for now
Canon Electronics
Japanese maker of document scanners, precision motors, and small CE-SAT satellites, now a Canon Inc. subsidiary
Defensible for now
Castelion
Startup building low-cost, mass-produced hypersonic missiles for the US military
Defensible for now
China South Industries Group Corporation
State-owned Chinese maker of ordnance, artillery, and armored vehicles
Defensible for now
China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC)
World's largest shipbuilder, building navy and commercial vessels for China at massive scale
Defensible for now
Embraer Defense & Security
Brazilian defense arm building the C-390 military transport jet and other combat aircraft
Defensible for now
Exail Technologies
French maker of naval navigation systems, gyroscopes, and underwater drones
Defensible for now
Exolaunch
German maker of satellite deployment hardware for SpaceX and other rideshare launches
Defensible for now
Fincantieri
Italian state-backed builder of warships and cruise ships, 230 years in business
Defensible for now
Gilat Satellite Networks
Israeli maker of satellite ground terminals for aviation, defense, and operators
Defensible for now
Hanwha Aerospace
South Korean maker of K9 howitzers, Chunmoo rockets, and other defense hardware
Defensible for now
Hanwha Ocean
South Korean shipbuilder making LNG carriers, tankers, and naval vessels, formerly DSME
Defensible for now
Hanwha Techwin
Maker of security cameras, video analytics, and chip-packaging equipment under Hanwha Group
Defensible for now
HawkEye 360
Runs satellites that detect and map radio signals for militaries and governments
Defensible for now
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited
State-owned Indian aerospace maker of fighter jets, helicopters, and engines for the military
Defensible for now
Impulse Space
Builds orbital transfer vehicles (Mira, Helios) that move satellites once they reach space
Defensible for now
KNDS
Franco-German maker of Leopard 2 and Leclerc tanks, artillery, and armored vehicles
Defensible for now
Muon Space
Builds and flies custom satellite constellations for defense and climate customers
Defensible for now
NanoAvionics
Lithuanian maker of small satellite buses, majority owned by Kongsberg since 2022
Defensible for now
Navantia
Spain's 100% state-owned naval shipbuilder, building submarines, frigates, and warships
Defensible for now
Norinco Group
State-owned Chinese maker of tanks, ammunition, and military ordnance for the PLA and export buyers
Defensible for now
OHB SE
German satellite and space systems maker, prime contractor for ESA and German defense programs
Defensible for now
Oshkosh Defense
Builds the Army and Marine Corps light tactical trucks like the JLTV and Humvee replacement
Defensible for now
Paras Defence and Space Technologies
Indian maker of defense/space optics, periscopes, and space-mirror systems for ISRO and DRDO
Defensible for now
Poongsan Corporation
South Korean maker of artillery shells and copper coin blanks, dominant at home
Defensible for now
Saronic Technologies
Saronic builds autonomous surface vessels for the US Navy and allied navies
Defensible for now
Terran Orbital
Small-satellite and CubeSat builder, now a wholly owned Lockheed Martin subsidiary
Defensible for now
Thales Alenia Space
Franco-Italian satellite builder, JV of Thales and Leonardo, serves sovereign and institutional space programs
Defensible for now
ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems (TKMS)
German builder of non-nuclear submarines and naval systems, spun off from thyssenkrupp in 2025
Defensible for now
Vannevar Labs
Builds AI software that reads and analyzes foreign intelligence data for the US military
Defensible for now
Zen Technologies
Indian maker of military training simulators and anti-drone systems
Defensible for now
Almaz-Antey
State-owned Russian monopoly making S-300/S-400/S-500 air defense missile systems
Protection under test
Antrix Corporation
State-owned satellite and launch services arm of India's space agency ISRO
Protection under test
Arianespace
French rocket operator that flies Europe's Ariane 6 for government and commercial satellite launches
Protection under test
Astranis
Astranis builds small, cheaper geostationary satellites for broadband and government use.
Protection under test
AviChina Industry & Technology
Hong Kong-listed maker of Chinese military helicopters and aircraft, majority owned by AVIC
Protection under test
China Aerospace International Holdings
HK-listed CASC unit making PCBs, LCDs, chargers, plastics, plus a bleeding Shenzhen property arm
Protection under test
Globalstar
Globalstar runs satellite spectrum and IoT/MSS services, powering Apple's Emergency SOS, being bought by Amazon
Protection under test
Iridium Communications
Satellite phone and IoT network operator now being bought by Rocket Lab.
Protection under test
K2 Space
K2 Space builds high-power satellite buses for defense and commercial customers
Protection under test
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
Builds low-cost military drones, target jets, and satellite ground systems for defense.
Protection under test
Loft Orbital
Builds and flies shared satellites so others skip owning hardware
Protection under test
Poly Technologies
State-owned Chinese conglomerate trading arms and defense gear across roughly 100 countries
Protection under test
Rostec
State-owned Russian conglomerate of ~800 firms making tanks, planes, and arms for Russia
Protection under test
Second Front Systems
Second Front helps commercial software companies get security clearance to sell to the Pentagon and NATO
Protection under test
Skyrora
UK rocket maker building small satellite launch vehicles, no orbital flight yet
Protection under test
Varda Space Industries
Builds reentry capsules for in-space manufacturing and hypersonic test flights
Protection under test
AeroVironment
Maker of Switchblade loitering munitions and drones, now merged with BlueHalo for autonomy and space tech
Losing its protection
Agnikul Cosmos
Indian startup building 3D-printed rocket engines for small satellite launches
Losing its protection
AST SpaceMobile
Builds satellites that let ordinary phones connect directly to space, no dish needed
Losing its protection
Astra Space
US maker of small rockets and satellite propulsion engines, once bankrupt, now rebuilding
Losing its protection
Astrobotic Technology
US lunar lander builder, now Voyager Lunar Systems, still chasing its first Moon landing
Losing its protection
Astroscale Holdings
Japanese company that inspects, refuels, and removes dead satellites and debris from orbit
Losing its protection
Axiom Space
Builds private crewed space missions and is developing a commercial replacement for the ISS
Losing its protection
Bellatrix Aerospace
Indian startup building electric and green propulsion thrusters and orbital transfer vehicles for satellites
Losing its protection
BlackSky Technology
Runs a real-time satellite imagery constellation for government and defense intelligence
Losing its protection
Blue Origin
Private rocket and lunar lander company founded by Jeff Bezos in 2000
Losing its protection
Capella Space
US satellite radar imaging company, ITAR-certified, now an IonQ subsidiary
Losing its protection
China Great Wall Industry Corporation (CGWIC)
State-owned Chinese broker for commercial satellite launches and space exports, under CASC
Losing its protection
China Satellite Communications Co. (China Satcom)
State-owned operator running China's GEO satellite fleet for broadcast and data links
Losing its protection
China Spacesat Co., Ltd.
State-owned satellite maker building China's BeiDou and Guowang spacecraft, listed in Shanghai
Losing its protection
ClearSpace
Swiss startup building spacecraft to capture and remove dead satellites from orbit
Losing its protection
Cubic Corporation
Private-equity-owned maker of defense training systems and transit fare-payment hardware
Losing its protection
D-Orbit
Italian builder of orbital transfer vehicles that ferry and place satellites in space
Losing its protection
Dhruva Space
Indian satellite systems maker building small satellites and space hardware
Losing its protection
Electro Optic Systems
Australian maker of remote weapon systems, counter-drone defense, and space tracking tech
Losing its protection
Epirus
Epirus builds solid-state high-power microwave weapons that fry drone swarms electronically.
Losing its protection
Eutelsat Group
French satellite operator running GEO TV broadcast plus OneWeb's LEO connectivity network
Losing its protection
Firefly Aerospace
Builds small rockets and Moon landers for NASA, DoD, and commercial satellite customers
Losing its protection
Gilmour Space Technologies
Australian rocket maker building the Eris orbital launch vehicle and Bowen spaceport
Losing its protection
Hermeus
Builds unmanned, reusable hypersonic aircraft and engines for the US military
Losing its protection
HyImpulse Technologies
German startup building hybrid-propulsion rockets for sovereign European launch
Losing its protection
Intuitive Machines
Builds robotic lunar landers and space infrastructure for NASA and commercial buyers
Losing its protection
Isar Aerospace
German startup building the Spectrum rocket for small satellite launches from Europe
Losing its protection
ispace Inc.
Japanese company building robotic landers to deliver cargo and do business on the moon
Losing its protection
Kepler Communications
Kepler builds a laser-linked satellite network that relays data between orbit and ground for governments and companies
Losing its protection
Maxar Technologies
Vantor (ex-Maxar) sells satellite imagery and geospatial intel mainly to US and allied defense agencies
Losing its protection
Momentus Inc.
Builds and flies orbital transfer vehicles that move satellites to final orbits
Losing its protection
MTAR Technologies
Indian precision manufacturer making exotic-metal parts for nuclear, space, and defense hardware
Losing its protection
Mynaric
German laser satellite-communication terminal maker, now a Rocket Lab subsidiary
Losing its protection
PLD Space
Spanish startup building reusable rockets to launch small satellites to orbit
Losing its protection
Poly Group
Chinese state conglomerate spanning defense trading, real estate, and art auctions
Losing its protection
Redwire Space
Builds spacecraft components and in-space manufacturing hardware for government and commercial satellites
Losing its protection
Rocket Factory Augsburg
German startup building RFA ONE, a small orbital rocket that has never flown
Losing its protection
Rocket Lab
Builds and flies small Electron rockets, developing medium-lift Neutron, buying Iridium
Losing its protection
Satellogic
Small satellite operator selling Earth imagery and analytics to defense and government buyers
Losing its protection
SES S.A.
Luxembourg satellite operator running GEO and MEO fleets after buying Intelsat, chasing government and aviation contracts
Losing its protection
Sierra Space
Builds the Dream Chaser spaceplane and orbital space habitats for NASA and defense
Losing its protection
Skydio
Skydio builds autonomous drones for defense, public safety, and infrastructure inspection.
Losing its protection
Skyroot Aerospace
Indian startup building small orbital rockets, first private Indian company to reach orbit
Losing its protection
Spire Global
Runs 100+ small satellites collecting weather, RF, and tracking data for governments and firms
Losing its protection
Stoke Space
Builds Nova, a fully reusable orbital rocket, still pre-flight and pre-revenue
Losing its protection
Telesat
Canadian satellite operator building sovereign-grade LEO network while its GEO business shrinks and debt looms
Losing its protection
True Anomaly
Builds autonomous spacecraft that chase, inspect, and intercept satellites in orbit
Losing its protection
Ukroboronprom
State-owned Ukrainian conglomerate building weapons for the war against Russia
Losing its protection
Umbra
Umbra builds SAR satellites and sells radar imagery to US defense and intelligence agencies.
Losing its protection
United Aircraft Corporation (UAC)
State-owned Russian aerospace holding making Sukhoi, MiG, Tupolev, Irkut jets for the military and Aeroflot
Losing its protection
United Launch Alliance
Boeing-Lockheed joint venture that builds and launches Atlas/Vulcan rockets for US defense and NASA
Losing its protection
Ursa Major Technologies
Makes rocket engines and solid motors for defense and space launch
Losing its protection
Vast Space
Vast builds commercial space stations, aiming to replace the ISS with Haven-1 and Haven-2
Losing its protection
Viasat
Satellite communications company serving defense and commercial aviation, maritime, and broadband customers
Losing its protection
Voyager Technologies
Space hardware and defense contractor betting its future on a NASA space station project
Losing its protection
Walchandnagar Industries
Heavy engineering firm forging components for ISRO rockets and DRDO missiles
Losing its protection
World View Enterprises
Stratospheric balloon company for defense and surveillance, now owned by Ondas Inc.
Losing its protection
York Space Systems
York builds small satellite buses for the Space Development Agency and commercial buyers
Losing its protection
Zhuhai Orbita Aerospace Technology
Chinese satellite maker and chip firm, renamed from Orbita to Zhuhai Aerospace Microchips
Losing its protection
ABL Space Systems
Long Wall, ex-ABL Space Systems, builds Cyclops missile interceptors after rocket failures
Little protection left
Motor Sich
Ukrainian maker of Soviet-legacy aircraft, helicopter and drone engines, nationalized under martial law
Little protection left
Orbex
UK vertical-launch rocket startup that folded before reaching orbit
Little protection left
Phantom Space Corporation
Early-stage US small launch and satellite builder that has never reached orbit
Little protection left
Rebellion Defense
AI software maker selling analytics and mission tools to the US military
Little protection left
Virgin Galactic
Virgin Galactic flies paying customers to suborbital space on SpaceShipTwo/Delta rockets
Little protection left
Questions people ask
Will SpaceX put satellite companies like Viasat and SES out of business?
Both are already losing customers to Starlink's lower-latency LEO broadband, with Viasat's communication revenue slipping and Telesat's GEO utilization down to 55%. They still have government and enterprise contracts, but the pressure is real and growing.
Is Blue Origin falling behind SpaceX in the space race?
Yes on launch volume, SpaceX flew 85 Falcon 9 missions and holds $5.92B in NSSL contracts versus Blue Origin's $2.39B, while New Glenn is still working through reliability issues.
Are Chinese state defense companies safe from AI-era disruption?
Companies like CNNC, CASC, CASIC and CETC hold legal monopolies on things like nuclear weapons and PLA missile production, so there's no visible customer loss or competitive threat in the evidence.
Why is Kratos Defense losing ground to Anduril?
Anduril and General Atomics won the flagship USAF Collaborative Combat Aircraft production award over Kratos, and Shield AI and Collins Aerospace took the autonomy software layer Kratos was excluded from.
What happened to Orbex and ABL Space Systems?
Orbex collapsed into administration in February 2026 without reaching orbit. ABL Space Systems pivoted to missile interceptors under the name Long Wall but hasn't secured a confirmed Pentagon award while Anduril and Rocket Lab took the relevant contracts.
Which satellite imaging company is winning against Maxar and Capella?
ICEYE is pulling ahead with a 62-satellite fleet, a EUR1.76B German sovereign contract, and over EUR250M in 2025 revenue, taking European defense deals that Vantor (formerly Maxar) and Capella also pursue.
What to watch
Head to head in this sector
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